Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001805 0.001885 0.001969 0.002062 0.002165 0.002274 0.002400
2025-06-29 0.001652 0.001763 0.001883 0.002023 0.002186 0.002369 0.002593
2025-07-06 0.001554 0.001684 0.001830 0.002007 0.002220 0.002473 0.002801
2025-07-13 0.001444 0.001581 0.001737 0.001933 0.002174 0.002470 0.002872
2025-07-20 0.001388 0.001535 0.001706 0.001925 0.002203 0.002558 0.003064
2025-07-27 0.001352 0.001508 0.001695 0.001938 0.002257 0.002678 0.003312
2025-08-03 0.001308 0.001469 0.001664 0.001923 0.002272 0.002746 0.003491
2025-08-10 0.001282 0.001451 0.001658 0.001939 0.002326 0.002871 0.003773
2025-08-17 0.001249 0.001421 0.001634 0.001928 0.002341 0.002941 0.003976
2025-08-24 0.001214 0.001388 0.001605 0.001907 0.002341 0.002985 0.004141
2025-08-31 0.001205 0.001387 0.001618 0.001945 0.002426 0.003168 0.004589
2025-09-07 0.001187 0.001373 0.001611 0.001954 0.002469 0.003289 0.004948
2025-09-14 0.001158 0.001344 0.001584 0.001935 0.002469 0.003340 0.005181
2025-09-21 0.001126 0.001312 0.001552 0.001906 0.002452 0.003361 0.005356
2025-09-28 0.001103 0.001289 0.001532 0.001893 0.002460 0.003426 0.005652
2025-10-05 0.001063 0.001242 0.001477 0.001827 0.002377 0.003319 0.005503
2025-10-12 0.001045 0.001225 0.001463 0.001821 0.002391 0.003391 0.005828
2025-10-19 0.001034 0.001217 0.001461 0.001832 0.002435 0.003526 0.006369
2025-10-26 0.001016 0.001199 0.001444 0.001820 0.002437 0.003578 0.006696
2025-11-02 0.001007 0.001193 0.001444 0.001833 0.002486 0.003730 0.007402
2025-11-09 0.000991 0.001177 0.001430 0.001824 0.002492 0.003795 0.007853
2025-11-16 0.000974 0.001158 0.001410 0.001805 0.002481 0.003821 0.008178
2025-11-23 0.000973 0.001162 0.001423 0.001839 0.002567 0.004075 0.009616